The organization's Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) declined 0.6% in July to 100.4 following June's 0.2% drop. The measure peaked in the second quarter of 2022 and has been falling ever since, ...

US jobless claims came out yesterday better than expected. Since one data point does not make a trend, here is a chart of the popular 4-week moving average of initial jobless claims going back ...

A private forecast of economic activity rose for the sixth straight month in September, a sign the economy will keep growing next year. The Conference Board said Thursday that its index of leading ...

The limits of the LEI Like any economic indicator, the LEI can send false signals. For example, the US LEI has occasionally dipped for several months before reaccelerating without an ensuing ...

Leading Economic Indicators No Longer Forecasting a Recession. ... The current forecast for first-quarter growth from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta has it pegged at 2.9%, ...

Here’s a long-term view of the monthly Index of Leading Economic Indicators back to 1972, covering the last six recessions. As the chart shows, each of the last five recessions has ended when ...

A barometer of future economic activity edged higher in March, following a pause in February, suggesting that the economic recovery may be gaining a more solid footing. IE 11 is not supported.

Coincident indicators measure current economic activity and change simultaneously with the economy. These real-time gauges include metrics like GDP , industrial production, personal income, and ...

The chart shows that while the Conference Board's leading index is trending south, the coincident indicators, which indicate the economy's current state, are rising along with the lagging indicators.

The organization's Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) declined 0.6% in July to 100.4 following June's 0.2% drop. The measure peaked in the second quarter of 2022 and has been falling ever since ...